Big Vote, Big Stakes
On October 21, Japan’s parliament (the Diet) will hold a crucial vote to pick a new prime minister. The ruling party’s fresh leader, Sanae Takaichi, needs a win to replace outgoing Shigeru Ishiba—and to make history as Japan’s first female PM. 🚀
Opposition Power Plays
With former coalition partner Komeito bowing out, major opposition groups have been chatting behind the scenes. The Constitutional Democratic Party, the Democratic Party for the People, and the Japan Innovation Party (JIP) even explored a joint candidate to block Takaichi—though no agreement was reached.
Surprising Coalition Moves
Meanwhile, JIP’s co-leader Fumitake Fujita says talks with the LDP 'moved forward considerably,' hinting at a possible new alliance. If JIP jumps ship, Takaichi’s chance goes from slim to solid. But hurdles remain on issues like consumption tax (think sales tax on your online shopping) and political donation rules.
What Experts Say
Kazuhiko Togo, a former diplomat turned scholar, told China Media Group that the biggest challenge is politics meeting money—public care more about transparent campaign cash and better livelihoods. He also notes the next leader must break the 'revolving-door PM' cycle that saw six PMs in six years.
3 Scenarios to Watch
1. LDP + JIP coalition: Takaichi wins but leads a minority government, making policy moves tricky.
2. Solo LDP rule: No alliance, but LDP’s seat majority could push her through—governing still a challenge without partners.
3. Unified opposition upset: If rivals unite and outvote the LDP, a surprise PM could emerge, though policy splits might weaken them.
All eyes are on Oct 21—will Takaichi pull it off? Stay tuned! 👀
Reference(s):
Explainer: Can LDP leader Takaichi become Japan's prime minister?
cgtn.com
